No rookie quarterback has ever won a Super Bowl or even competed in one during their first season.
But can Caleb Williams become the first to do so?
"This is my bold prediction. Forget guaranteeing the playoffs. ... I think Caleb could lead the Bears to the Super Bowl in his rookie season," Nick Wright said on "First Things First" on FS1. Why does Wright think that's possible despite there being no evidence to suggest its probability?
"We have seen rookie quarterbacks step in, be excellent, and the team be contenders," Wright said. "... The idea that rookie quarterbacks don't ever step in and have success is belied by history. And this Bears team is, I think, a playoff team with just slightly below-average quarterback play. They were a seven-win team last year and they added [Rome] Odunze, they added Keenan Allen."
Wright's point is supported by examples of rookie quarterbacks finding success in the playoffs. Last year, C.J. Stroud led the Texans to the divisional round. Dak Prescott also made the divisional round with the Cowboys in his rookie year. Furthermore, five quarterbacks in NFL history have reached a conference championship game in their rookie season: Rams' Shaun King (2000), Steelers' Ben Roethlisberger (2005), Ravens' Joe Flacco (2009), Jets' Mark Sanchez (2010), and 49ers' Brock Purdy (2023).
This proves rookie quarterbacks are capable of postseason success. Wright adds that the Bears' schedule favors an easy start for Williams. In the first 10 weeks, they face five teams expected to struggle next season: the Patriots, Commanders, Cardinals, Panthers, and Titans.
The Bears don't play a divisional game until Week 11 against the Packers. This gives Williams time to adjust and improve without facing tougher divisional opponents early on.
Williams has shown confidence in achieving postseason success. Upon arriving in Chicago, he discussed his long-term goals of winning multiple championships and building a football résumé comparable to Tom Brady's by the end of his career.
As Wright mentioned, Williams is joining a team that appears ready to compete in the postseason. He has proven weapons in Allen, Odunze, and DJ Moore. The Bears' defense also finished strong last season, ranking top-five in scoring in the final weeks.
With momentum on the Bears' side, it's about how quickly the newcomers can gel before the regular season begins. Wright believes the Bears have the potential to make something special happen.
"In that weak NFC with that type of momentum, not having to play any divisional games until the last third of his rookie season when he's more seasoned, I could see the Bears shocking everyone but me," Wright said.
POLL | ||
19 MAI | 70 ANSWERS Nfl analyst suggests caleb williams could lead bears to Super bowl Do you think Caleb Williams can lead the Bears to the Super Bowl in his rookie season? | ||
yes | 25 | 35.7 % |
No | 45 | 64.3 % |
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