Initially, the choice seemed straightforward. Fields had shown promise during a challenging season with little protection or offensive weapons. The prevailing belief was that, with better support, he could excel. This, combined with the relatively underwhelming 2023 quarterback class, made Poles' decision to trade the pick to the Carolina Panthers appear easy.
However, eight months after the blockbuster trade, the decision looks less clear in hindsight. The package acquired from the Panthers has proven valuable, with DJ Moore emerging as a star and Darnell Wright showing promise at right tackle. Furthermore, Chicago is in a prime position to secure another high draft pick through the Panthers' struggles.
What adds to the complexity of the situation is the rapid ascent of Houston Texans rookie quarterback C.J. Stroud, who was chosen as the No. 2 overall pick. In 10 games, Stroud has thrown for 2,962 yards, 17 touchdowns, and five interceptions with a 62.8 percent completion rate. The Texans, with Stroud at the helm, stand at 6-4 and are in playoff contention. Stroud's passing yardage already surpasses Fields' output from the previous season.
The surprising success of Stroud raises questions about whether the Bears made the right decision, especially given the uncertainty surrounding Fields' performance in the final six games of the season. To evaluate their decision-making process, the Bears will need to consider whether their evaluation of Stroud was flawed and if they should have explored other options more thoroughly.
Poles had previously stated that he would need to be "blown away" to draft a quarterback and move on from Fields. As the Bears grapple with an uncertain quarterback future, they must closely examine how they arrived at their decision last March, especially as they contemplate evaluating prospects like Caleb Williams and Drake Maye in the upcoming offseason.
The potential repercussions of choosing the wrong quarterback can be detrimental to a rebuilding effort, setting the team back for years and potentially leading to personnel changes. With ample draft capital at their disposal, the Bears face a pivotal decision: stick with Fields and surround him with top-tier talent or reset the quarterback contract timeline with Williams or Maye and assess trade offers for Fields.
Ultimately, the Bears must ensure that the quarterback they select in the upcoming draft is the right fit and not destined for mediocrity. The player personnel staffer points out the inherent gamble in selecting first-round quarterbacks and raises concerns about the team's confidence in evaluating talent, given their previous misjudgment or oversight regarding Stroud.
The best-case scenario for the Bears is that Fields excels in the final six games, providing confidence in their future at quarterback. While the allure of prospects like Williams or Maye is enticing, having certainty in Fields is the preferred path.
In essence, the choice between Fields and the potential mystery box of draft prospects is akin to the "Family Guy" boat or box bit. Fields represents the known quantity and a franchise quarterback, while the draft prospects offer various, uncertain outcomes. The allure of a rookie quarterback contract and the immense upside of top prospects could make it challenging for the Bears to resist if they enter the offseason without a definitive evaluation of Fields.
However, the key question arising from last offseason's decision isn't about the trade package received but rather the evaluation process that led to that decision. It remains to be seen whether Fields will thrive or if Stroud's rise is a temporary phenomenon. Poles and the front office's handling of this decision will heavily influence expectations for the next one, as they grapple with another critical quarterback puzzle in the upcoming offseason.
POLL | ||
24 NOVEMBRE | 51 ANSWERS C.J. Stroud, Justin Fields, and the quietly looming inquiry about the Chicago Bears' quarterback destiny. Is C.J Stroud the best rookie QB ever? | ||
yes | 23 | 45.1 % |
no | 28 | 54.9 % |
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