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Prospect Caleb Williams Draws Parallels to Notorious Draft Bust

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Vince Carbonneau
April 2, 2024  (9:06)
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Caleb Williams during his college career
Photo credit: Los Angeles Times

In the upcoming NFL draft, the Chicago Bears are expected to select USC quarterback Caleb Williams as the No. 1 overall pick, according to the consensus of most analysts. However, amidst the optimism, concerns arise as some player comparisons for Williams may not inspire the confidence the team desires.

Bill Connelly of ESPN recently penned draft prospect comparisons for Williams, drawing parallels between him and Zach Wilson of the New York Jets, as well as Sam Ehlinger of the Indianapolis Colts. While Williams boasts superior statistics, all three quarterbacks exhibit proficiency in efficient and conservative passing, with a tendency to hold the ball for at least 2.9 seconds per pass. Notably, Williams demonstrates a greater inclination towards quick passes compared to Wilson, although he falls short of Ehlinger's scrambling prowess. Yet, despite these nuances, both Wilson and Ehlinger have struggled to translate their skill set into NFL success, raising doubts about Williams' potential trajectory.

Zach Wilson, selected second overall by the Jets in the 2021 draft, has faced challenges, finding himself benched multiple times and exploring trade options amidst the emergence of Aaron Rodgers as the team's starter. Similarly, the Colts have relegated Sam Ehlinger, a sixth-round pick in 2021, to a third-string role after drafting Anthony Richardson and signing Joe Flacco as a backup.

While comparisons to Wilson and Ehlinger may raise concerns, Connelly's assessment offers a more optimistic outlook. Drawing parallels between Williams and Super Bowl champions Patrick Mahomes and Russell Wilson, Connelly highlights the potential for greatness in the Bears' prospective top pick. By identifying quarterbacks who excel in various metrics, including time per pass, touchdown-to-interception ratio, completion percentage, and yards per completion, Connelly underscores the potential for Williams to emulate the success of Mahomes and Wilson.

With Mahomes boasting multiple Pro Bowl appearances and Super Bowl victories, and Wilson earning numerous accolades throughout his career, the comparison sets a high standard for Williams. If the young quarterback can mirror even a fraction of their success, the Bears stand to benefit significantly from their investment in the 2024 NFL draft.

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Prospect Caleb Williams Draws Parallels to Notorious Draft Bust

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